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Daily analyst comments




 

MTS could enter Kazakh market

11/14/2007 10:26

We are upbeat on MTS's possible foray into the Kazakh market, which looks appealing due to robust growth potential and strong macroeconomic indicators. However, before detailed information about the transaction is unveiled, we are unable to draw any unambiguous conclusions about its profit from the standpoint of the company's fundamental value.

Vedomosti reported on November 13 that there are rumors on the Kazakh wireless market about MTS gaining a foothold there. First and foremost, the possible sale of a 51% stake in Mobile Telecom Service by Kazakhtelecom is at issue. The business daily quoted MTS President Leonid Melamed as saying that "owners of the state's interest and private stakes in the company are aware our interest explicitly and in details. Therefore, they realize on what terms we are prepared to consider deals to acquire this company".

For the record. Four wireless companies operate in Kazakhstan. GSM Kazakhstan (the K'cell band, 51% is owned by TeliaSonera and 49% by Kazakhtelecom) holds 47.5% of the SIM card market, Kar-Tel (controlled by VimpelCom) 47.5%, Mobile Telecom Service (MTS, the Neo brand, controlled by Kazakhtelecom) holds 1.5% and CDMA-operator Altel 3.5%.

We are extremely upbeat on the company's efforts to expand into new markets. What's more, we view Kazakhstan as an appealing area from the standpoint of economic growth, GDP per capita and growth potential. The number of cellular users stood at 11.5 mln as of the end of September and penetration exceeded 75%.

Meanwhile, before detailed information is unveiled about the potential transaction, it is not possible to estimate its impact on the company's fair price. We reiterate our Buy recommendation on MTS at $12.75 per common share.

Other comments of the day

MTS

Capitalization: $10 484 895 485,88

Common shares:
Price: $5,26
Target price: $11,71
Recommendation: Buy
Delta week: 0,5%
Delta month: -13,5%
Delta year: -55,7%


 



Finam Mutual funds  

First   Bonds
MICEX Index   Low Liquidity Shares
Finam Mutual Funds

   Top Gainers
 Korporativnie s 67240.00 %
 Uzhnyi Kuzbass 71819.67 %
 Kamchatskenergo 0.11715.73 %
 Chita Energo Sb 0.06314.55 %
 RusGidro 1.33714.18 %
   Top Losers
 VEK ao 5.9-24.07 %
 OmskEnergoSbyt  40-19.98 %
 Permskie motory 2.5-10.39 %
 KrasnGES 32-8.83 %
 STZ 220.1-8.35 %

Russian Stock Indices
 RTS 960.46-1.79%18:00
 MICEX10INDEX 2,067.11-3.271%18:44
 MICEXINDEXCF 977.09-3.495%18:44
Finam Indices
 i.LKOH 44.0442-4.063%18:44
 i.RTKM 5.1487-1.723%18:44
 i.SNGS 0.6898-3.28%18:44
 i.SBER 1.2129-4.522%18:44
 i.GMKN 92.0165-4.085%18:44
 i.TATN 3.906-4.925%18:44
 i.MSNG 0.0461-0.539%18:44
 i.GAZP 5.0561-5.451%18:44
 i.ROSN 5.3863-3.467%18:44
 i.PLZL 37.6077-4.221%18:44
 i.AVAZ 0.4094-5.441%18:44
 i.VTBR 0.0011-4.202%18:44
ADR (London)
 Gazprom 5.055-4.981%00:05
 Lukoil 43.97-4.827%00:05
 Rostelekom 5.185-1.737%00:05
 Tatneft 3.868333-5.265%00:05
 Norilsk nikel 92.1-3.862%00:05
 Surgutneftegaz 0.694-2.937%00:05
 AFKS 612.5-2%00:05
 Rosneft 5.44-3.203%00:05
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